26 Jun · 01:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1449
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kolar
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1547
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H12-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)