Badminton Predictions
A transparent Elo model for Badminton table tennis (Pro Tour) · updated 8 min ago
Model Track RecordCalibration: Good
Walk-forward · last 2.035 graded predictions
62.4%Pick Accuracy
0.240Brier Score
0.673Log Loss
Daily picks on Telegram
The model's top calls every morning + our real tracked record. Free · @Deucelab
Wed 24 JunToday
Recent Results
Every prediction scored against the real result — nothing hidden.
61%
918 of last 1500
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Kuan Lin Kuo vs Rounak Chouhan
23 Jun · 21:50 UTC
pick Chouhan 51%
1-2
Matthias Kicklitz vs Fabio Caponio
23 Jun · 21:30 UTC
pick Kicklitz 51%
2-0
Jing Hong Kok vs William Bogebjerg
23 Jun · 21:20 UTC
pick Bogebjerg 60%
1-2
Tereza Svabikova vs Clara Azurmendi
23 Jun · 20:30 UTC
pick Azurmendi 54%
0-0
Vivien Sandorhazi vs Disha Gupta
23 Jun · 20:10 UTC
pick Sandorhazi 50%
2-0
Yevheniia Kantemyr vs Anna Siess Ryberg
23 Jun · 20:05 UTC
pick Ryberg 57%
0-2
Anna Tatranova vs Chloe Hoang
23 Jun · 20:00 UTC
pick Tatranova 54%
2-1
Rounak Chouhan vs Enogat Roy
23 Jun · 19:35 UTC
pick Roy 54%
2-0
Timothy Lock vs Matthias Kicklitz
23 Jun · 19:30 UTC
pick Kicklitz 53%
0-2
Kuan Lin Kuo vs Garret Tan
23 Jun · 19:05 UTC
pick Tan 50%
2-1
Jing Hong Kok vs Shaurya Gullaiya
23 Jun · 18:50 UTC
pick Gullaiya 53%
2-0
Yen-Chen Ting vs Uriel F C Artiga
23 Jun · 18:40 UTC
pick Artiga 52%
2-1
Josh Nguyen vs Fabio Caponio
23 Jun · 18:40 UTC
pick Nguyen 58%
0-2
June Wei Cheam vs Anirv Reddy Chamakura
23 Jun · 18:35 UTC
pick Chamakura 52%
2-0
Adriano V Aguirre vs William Bogebjerg
23 Jun · 18:10 UTC
pick Bogebjerg 59%
0-2
Luis Pongratz vs Jewel Angelo Albo
21 Jun · 12:20 UTC
pick Pongratz 60%
2-0
Nurani Ratu Azzahra vs Thi Trang Vu
21 Jun · 10:35 UTC
pick Azzahra 52%
1-2
Niklas Lynge Olesen vs Jewel Angelo Albo
21 Jun · 08:15 UTC
pick Albo 50%
0-2
Kantaphon Wangcharoen vs Zhe An Hu
21 Jun · 08:05 UTC
pick Hu 58%
1-2
Thi Trang Vu vs Anwesha Gowda
21 Jun · 07:40 UTC
pick Gowda 60%
2-0
Accuracy Over Time
Stable numbers across windows mean the model isn't drifting. Sample size shown so equal rates aren't misread.
Last 7 days
62.9%
n = 151Brier 0.240
Last 30 days
63.9%
n = 798Brier 0.236
All time
62.4%
n = 2.035Brier 0.240
Calibration
Predicted vs actual win rate per band — close numbers mean the probabilities are honest.
BandExpectedActualn
50–55%52.4%60.0%1676
55–60%56.8%71.9%306
60–65%61.5%83.0%47
65%+66.1%100.0%6
Reliability
On the diagonal = honest. Above it = the model was too cautious, below = overconfident.
Prediction Distribution
Where today's win probabilities land — the model stays honest, not overconfident.
50–55%
45%
55–60%
31%
60–65%
16%
65%+
8%
Elo Leaderboard
The strongest Setka Cup players by live Elo rating.
Confidence tiersElite65%+High60–65%Medium55–60%Low<55%· win probability of the favourite
How it works. An Elo model trained on real Badminton results estimates each player's strength; the win probability follows from the rating gap, temperature-calibrated against past outcomes. No market odds, no value claims — just transparent model output and its measured accuracy.
3.016 matches · 1179 players tracked since 14 Mar 2026.
Biggest upsets
Where the model's favourite lost — honestly shown.
Noah Haasebeat 73%
over Christopher Vittoriani · 2-1 · 12 Jun
Harry Huangbeat 73%
over Christopher Vittoriani · 1-2 · 30 May
Tharun Mannepallibeat 71%
over Rithvik Sanjeevi Satish Kumar · 1-2 · 17 Jun
Alwi Farhanbeat 71%
over Yuqi Shi · 1-2 · 28 May
Victor Ording Kauffmannbeat 70%
over Yu Cheng Chen · 1-2 · 12 Jun
Yu Cheng Chenbeat 69%
over Riyan Malhan · 0-2 · 07 Jun
Hot streaks
Current winning runs across the league.
Se Young An21 W
Luis Pongratz8 W
Ka To Lam8 W
Chao Sun8 W
Sum Yau Ip7 W
An Qi Yuan7 W
Top rivalries
The most-played match-ups on record.