Guides

A plain-English guide to the Elo rating system DeuceLab uses for table tennis: how ratings move, how win probabilities are derived, and why we calibrate them.

What DeuceLab's percentages really mean, why so many sit near 50%, and how to read a calibration chart to judge whether a model is honest.

Why DeuceLab uses an Elo rating instead of a player's official ranking to make predictions — and what each one actually tells you.

DeuceLab rates padel pairs with an Elo model and turns the rating gap into a transparent, calibrated win probability — no tips, no hype.

How DeuceLab estimates the chance a padel favourite covers the bookmaker's games handicap — built from real winning margins, shown next to the market line, and honest about what it can't do.

In the busy pro table-tennis leagues, even the model's favourites only win ~55-58% of the time. Here's why — and why that's a feature, not a flaw.

The honest answer from our own data: across thousands of graded predictions against real closing odds, we found no reliable edge over the market. Here's why — and what our numbers are actually good for.

An independent peer compared our padel win probabilities against theirs. What looked like a weak spot in our model turned out to be sampling noise — and chasing it would have made the model worse. Here is how we checked, and the real improvement we found instead.

An honest, educational rundown of common table tennis markets — match winner, set handicap, total sets and total points — and how DeuceLab models each.

An honest, educational rundown of common badminton markets — match winner, game handicap and total points — and how DeuceLab models each for best-of-three singles.

Match winner, set handicap and totals in padel — what the common markets mean and how to read them against a model probability. Descriptive, not advice.

Quick definitions of the table tennis, rating and statistics terms used across DeuceLab — Elo, Brier score, calibration, set handicap, deuce and more.

A plain guide to badminton scoring: best-of-three games, rally scoring to 21, win-by-two, the 20-20 deuce and the 30-point cap — and why points totals look the way they do.

A plain-English explanation of the Brier score — what it measures, why 0.25 is the coin-flip line, and what counts as a genuinely good score for a prediction model.

The honest way we grade every prediction: walk-forward testing with no hindsight, the metrics we report, and how you can check us.

Padel uses tennis scoring — points, games and sets, plus the golden point. A plain-English guide to reading a padel scoreline.

How the professional padel tour is structured — Premier Padel, FIP, the world's top pairs — and how our Elo leaderboard compares to official rankings.

What "cover rate" means — how often a player beats the closing set or points handicap, split by favourite and underdog role. Descriptive history, not tips.

The ⚡ matchup signals flag upcoming games where both players' cover histories lean the same way. What they mean — and why they're descriptive, not advice.

One Elo approach, three racket sports — but the scoring, the rated entity and the data depth differ. A quick guide to how DeuceLab handles each.

A quick tour of everything on a match page — win probability, confidence, predicted score, market fair odds, momentum and head-to-head — so you can read it at a glance.

Padel and tennis look similar but play completely differently — walls, doubles, an underhand serve and tennis-style scoring. A plain guide to how they compare.

How badminton's official BWF World Ranking works — rolling points over 52 weeks — and how it differs from a live Elo rating that updates after every match.

Padel is the world's fastest-growing racket sport — doubles, played in a glass-walled court with an underhand serve and tennis scoring. Here's everything a newcomer needs to know.

Table tennis and ping pong are essentially the same game — but the two names carry different meanings. Here's the honest, simple answer to a question everyone asks.

How professional padel is organised — Premier Padel, the FIP tiers from Major down to Future, and where the world's best pairs compete. A quick map of the tour.

Singles and doubles are almost two different sports in badminton — different court width, tactics, pace and stamina. Here's how they compare and what it means for predictions.

What the Setka Cup is, how its round-the-clock format works, and how DeuceLab rates every player with a transparent Elo model.

A guide to Czech Liga Pro table tennis — its 24/7 format, why the matches are so even, and how DeuceLab's Elo model handles it.

A guide to Poland's TT Elite Series table tennis — format, schedule and how DeuceLab rates the players with a transparent Elo model.

A guide to the TT Cup table tennis series — its round-the-clock format and how DeuceLab models every match with calibrated Elo probabilities.

A guide to the Setka Cup women's table tennis events — format, why the field is more predictable, and how DeuceLab rates the players.

A guide to the Challenger Series table tennis events — the most predictable field DeuceLab tracks, and how the Elo model handles it.

How DeuceLab predicts badminton — a transparent Elo model for singles across the international tour, with calibrated win probabilities, live in-play odds and a measured track record.

Setka Cup is one of the most-watched table tennis circuits online — but is it real? Yes: real professional players in a fast, made-for-broadcast format. Here's what it actually is.