25 Jun · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1526
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vinter
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1509
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vinter
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.