25 Jun · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MW
🇨🇿Michal Wollny
ELO 1586
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Urbaniec
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1632
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+46
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.