26 Jun · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1598
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sychra
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+47
H2H26-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.