25 Jun · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1538
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamczyk
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1569
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.