25 Jun · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1626
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1610
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H10-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.