26 Jun · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1298
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Madle
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1397
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Madle
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H26-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)