25 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1582
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zika
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1603
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zika
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.