25 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1582
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Szotkowski
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1659
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
🌟Szotkowski goes over total as favourite 93% (14)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.