25 Jun · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1675
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cabis
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1659
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H13-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.