25 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1603
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cabis
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1675
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H51-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.