25 Jun · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1516
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Steffan
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1518
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Steffan
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.