25 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇨🇿Karel Schopf
ELO 1568
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Schopf
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1509
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Schopf
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H13-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.