25 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1509
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Klement
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1573
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Klement
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H32-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.