25 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1545
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zurek
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1498
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+47
H2H14-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.