25 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Varcl Jnr
ELO 1473
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jnr
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1469
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.