25 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1404
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Nohejl
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1469
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.