25 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1469
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dolezal
VD
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1500
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Dolezal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.