25 Jun Β· 14:00 MESZLow Β· Coin Flip
JD
π¨πΏJulius Didi
ELO 1469
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Nohejl
TN
π¨πΏTomas Nohejl
ELO 1469
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds Β· Nohejl
Model 50% Β· 2.00vsMarket 51% Β· 1.95Β· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.