25 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1494
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Trinta
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1469
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.