25 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1448
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Varecha
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1498
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Varecha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+50
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.