25 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1412
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sr
PD
🇨🇿Pavel Drazan
ELO 1390
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Sr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.