25 Jun · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1676
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Szotkowski
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1589
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+87
H2H85-70
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (85-70)