25 Jun Β· 09:00 MESZLow Β· Coin Flip
L1
π¨πΏLadislav Havel 1956
ELO 1366
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Drazan
PD
π¨πΏPavel Drazan
ELO 1390
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds Β· Drazan
Model 51% Β· 1.96vsMarket 50% Β· 2.00Β· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal β near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.