25 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1498
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Varecha
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1489
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Varecha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.