25 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1361
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sr
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1412
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+51
H2H75-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.