25 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1589
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dousek
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousek
ELO 1624
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Dousek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+35
H2H30-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.