25 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VD
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1500
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dolezal
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Varcl Jnr
ELO 1473
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Dolezal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+27
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.