25 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1366
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sr
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1412
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+46
H2H15-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.