25 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1412
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sr
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1386
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Sr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H29-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.