25 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1611
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1626
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H24-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.