25 Jun · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pavel Gireth
ELO 1752
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gireth
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1663
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Gireth
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+89
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)