25 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1404
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sr
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1412
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H7-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.