25 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1618
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Szotkowski
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1676
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H31-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.