25 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1569
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adamczyk
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.