25 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VD
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1500
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dolezal
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1469
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Dolezal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+31
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.