25 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1610
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Huk
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1625
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Huk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H17-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.