25 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1361
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Drazan
PD
🇨🇿Pavel Drazan
ELO 1390
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Drazan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.