25 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1483
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vinter
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1526
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vinter
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.