25 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1489
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zurek
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1545
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H33-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.