25 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PD
🇨🇿Petr Danko
ELO 1521
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Machander
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1538
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Machander
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.