25 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1549
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skacelik
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+46
H2H17-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.