25 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1676
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Szotkowski
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousek
ELO 1624
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+52
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.