25 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1589
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Paril
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1618
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Paril
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H67-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.