25 Jun · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1626
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1625
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H49-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.