25 Jun · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1634
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gireth
PG
🇨🇿Pavel Gireth
ELO 1752
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Gireth
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+118
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)