25 Jun · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1540
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wolf
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1634
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Wolf
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)