25 Jun · 01:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1561
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fojt
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Fojt
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+88
H2H18-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-10)